At a time when the rural economy was already under distress, Covid 19
pandemic is going to make things worse for the agriculture sector. Some short
term support measures by the government can help it to sail through this
difficult time.
In this pandemic situation, it
seems that lockdown and social distancing are the only effective ways of
dealing with the pandemic. However, its repercussions on thousands of rural
and migrant workers are already visible. Regardless of support promises and
efforts by the government to prevent them from moving out, majority of workers
are not reporting for work with most migrant workers returning to their native
places. While the government
has exempted operation of agricultural mandis from the lockdown, however, in
the absence of migrant labourers, harvesting of the rabi crops will be
difficult especially in wheat surplus states Punjab, Haryana and Uttar Pradesh.
At a time when the rural economy
was already witnessing declining agricultural incomes, this lockdown is only
going to increase distress in agriculture sector further. The latest data shows
that agricultural prices are declining in most markets. Owing to decrease in
demand from hotels & restaurants and uncertainty over exports, prices of
agricultural commodities such as perishable vegetables, grapes and sugar have
fallen 15-20%. The all-India general CPI inflation declined to 5.91% in March
2020, compared with 6.58% in February 2020. Among the major CPI components,
inflation of food and beverages declined to 7.82% in March from 9.45% in
February 2020. Within the food items, the prices have declined for most vegetables,
fruits, pulses, meat and fish and eggs.
In the short run, besides decline
in agricultural prices, lockdown is going to disrupt the supply chains with
little transportation facilities for marketing and selling farm produce. This
is expected to hurt those who are especially engaged in production of
perishables items like fruits and vegetables, which can’t be stored for a long
time. In addition, labour involved in production of pulses, oilseeds and cotton
which are labour intensive crops, are also going to witness fall in their
incomes in harvest and post harvesting season.
With all the above mentioned
problems, the solution lies in the concentrated government efforts. As the situation
is not going to improve until vaccine comes, which is going to take at least one
year, one way to tackle the problem is via a change in the cropping pattern. In
the coming kharif season, farmers can shift their cropping pattern from labour
intensive crops such as paddy to cotton or maize so that they are not impacted
by shortage of labour. Another solution is to lure the workers from factories,
construction, rikshaw-pullers and other areas who do not have any other work
option right now to join the farm fields in this busy harvesting month. Attractive
daily wage rate for farm operations can be offered so as to fill the gap
between demand and supply of labour for agricultural activities.
In addition, rigorous marketing
is important so that farmers realise remunerative prices for the harvested rabi
crop. Given the task of maintaining social distancing, the issuing of coupons
by governments to farmers for bringing their respective produce to mandis at
given dates and times is reasonable. However, it is suggested that more needs
to be done. Limiting the procurement of farm produce to mandis is not
advisable. Government should start procuring wheat and other food items beyond
mandis at village schools, rice mills, cooperative societies, panchayat offices
and other unused public places during lockdown. This procurement can be practised
at least for the foodgrains that do not require cold storage or reefer vehicles
for subsequent movement to FCI godowns. Rabi harvest of Wheat and Chana, after
all, only has to be unloaded, cleaned, weighed, and then stocked which can be
done at any unused and easily approachable public place during lockdown. This
will not only be cost and time saving but also serve the purpose of social
distancing by preventing overcrowding at the mandis. Moving ahead, government
should take advantage of this pandemic situation to bring reforms in APMC (agriculture
produce and marketing committee) architecture to unshackle the existing
marketing ecosystem to bring desired marketing reforms for the collective
benefit of framers.
Going forward, to utilise agricultural
production capacity to its fullest, government should strive reducing post-harvest
losses of rabi crop by optimal post-harvest management strategies with modern
methods of storage, handing and packaging of food items. Further, due attention
has to be given on planning for kharif season where sowing of cotton and paddy
crops will start from the month of June. The farmers will very soon queue up
for buying seeds, fertilizers and other inputs for the next kharif crop sowing.
The challenge lies ahead of government of managing crowds at agricultural
inputs sale points. Health ministry can plan implementation of a systematic
screening policy by testing the farmers and field workers, so that farm
workforce is not a vector for the spread of the coronavirus.
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